Use our "what-if" tool to pick a winner in each state and see how it would change 538's 2024 presidential election forecast.
Going into the November general election, a race that has yielded a stream of unexpected storylines, we can learn from the ...
The latest news and live updates on the 2024 election. Follow the Trump-Vance and Harris-Walz campaigns ahead of the ...
Using betting markets rather than traditional polls, Thomas Miller has predicted a landslide for the Democrat in November.
Election prediction models are not like polls — and Silver's Trump odds are not all that different from others ...
Former President Donald Trump appeared in-person on a primetime Fox News show to complain about Vice President Kamala Harris ...
Number of electoral votes and the probability of a Democratic or Republican win in each state. Outlined states are most likely to give the winner their 270th Electoral College vote. Use the table ...