Real economic growth in the United States contracted 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025. Although that's an initial estimate, that's a remarkable development because it comes in the middle of a period ...

Will we see a recession in the US in 2026? Seeking Alpha analysts Damir Tokic and Ironman at Political Calculations weigh in with their thoughts. Damir Tokic: The probability of a recession in 2026 is ...

The warning lights on the U.S. economy are no longer faint or isolated, and the message from Moody's chief economist is that the risk of a downturn is now too large to shrug off. As growth slows, ...

Inverted Yields, Negative Rates, and U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward ...

Respondents to the March CNBC Fed Survey have raised the risk of recession to the highest level in six months, cut their growth forecast for 2025 and hiked their inflation outlook. Much of the change ...

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There are certain words you don’t want to hear in a medical checkup or in an investment bank’s recession outlook: “stable but elevated.” It’s a phrase that could refer to blood pressure, even risk of ...

"Never miss out on an opportunity like a recession" — Jack Welch, former chairman and CEO of General Electric. US President Donald Trump’s plans to overhaul the current global trade structure through ...

A recession looks likely to some forecasters on Wall Street — and they're eyeing some big disturbances that could result if the economy does plunge into a downturn. Fears of a potential economic ...

Polymarket and Kalshi traders' perceived probability of a recession this year has plunged recently. Both prediction markets surged in popularity after users called Trump's election win in November.

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