Ali Bhanpuri uses the Next Gen Stats playoff probability model to shed light on the 2024 NFL playoff picture. Which team is most likely to unseat the Chiefs atop the AFC? Which division frontrunners are most at risk of losing their leads?

Based on three different playoff projectors, the Packers’ probability to make the postseason sits somewhere between 70 and 80 percent entering Week 11. According to Next Gen Stats, the Packers (6-3) have a 72 percent chance of making the playoffs and could raise their probability to 79 percent with a win over the Chicago Bears on Sunday.

Here's everything you need to know when the Green Bay Packers play the Chicago Bears Week 11 of the 2024 NFL season.